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O’Leary: Shun China Trade Deal Amid Trump’s Canada Tariff Threat

Kevin O'Leary advises Canada to avoid a China trade deal as Trump threatens 100% tariffs. PM Carney denies plans, highlighting complex Canada-US trade ties. Get the full story.

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Kevin O’Leary Warns Canada Over China Trade Deal as Trump Threatens 100% Tariffs

Business mogul Kevin O’Leary warned Canada against a broad trade deal with China, calling Beijing a strategic threat, as former President Donald Trump threatened a possible 100% tariff on Canadian imports amid official denials from Ottawa.

  • Kevin O’Leary warned China “is not your friend” and urged caution over a comprehensive trade pact (Source: Fox Business).
  • Former President Donald Trump posted social-media warnings that a Canada–China deal could trigger a 100% tariff on Canadian goods (Source: Fox Business).
  • Canadian officials deny seeking a broad free trade agreement with China; recent changes reportedly only trimmed tariffs in select sectors (Source: Fox Business).

O’Leary’s warning and reasoning

Kevin O’Leary, the Canadian-born investor and TV personality, framed his warning as both economic and strategic. On “The Claman Countdown,” he said China “screwed” many partners in past deals and cautioned that Canada could suffer similar outcomes if a broad pact is pursued. He argued that Chinese state influence, industrial policy and advances in areas like artificial intelligence and military capability create long-term risks for partners.

“China is not your friend,” O’Leary said, emphasizing that trade decisions should factor in national-security implications as well as economic concerns.

O’Leary described China as an “economic and military and AI enemy” to both Canada and the United States, urging policymakers to weigh geopolitical risks alongside commercial benefits. (Source: Fox Business).

Trump’s tariff threat and Ottawa’s response

The Fox Business report ties O’Leary’s commentary to a series of social-media posts by former President Donald Trump, who warned that Canada could be “used as a gateway” for Chinese goods and suggested a 100% tariff could be imposed on imports from Canada if a China deal proceeded. Trump warned that “China will eat Canada alive” if unchecked, reflecting a hard-line view linking supply-chain ties to national economic security. (Source: Fox Business).

The report further indicates remarks attributed to Mark Carney saying Canada had no intention of negotiating a free trade agreement with China and that recent moves only eased tariffs in certain sectors. It notes that Carney is a former central banker (Bank of Canada and Bank of England), not Canada’s prime minister, and that Canadian officials have publicly denied pursuing a comprehensive pact with Beijing. (Source: Fox Business).

Strategic context: trade, defense and interdependence

O’Leary highlighted the deep economic ties between the United States and Canada, noting that many U.S. states rely heavily on Canadian markets. That interdependence raises the stakes if Washington were to impose sweeping tariffs: significant supply-chain disruptions and economic repercussions could follow. He also referenced former President Trump’s proposed “Golden Dome” missile-defense concept — a plan O’Leary said would require Canadian cooperation and could become leverage in diplomatic talks.

Under O’Leary’s framing, national-security cooperation on defense systems that span Greenland, Alaska and Canadian territory creates political and operational incentives that could push leaders toward compromise despite public confrontations. (Source: Fox Business).

Prediction of a diplomatic thaw

Despite the tough rhetoric, O’Leary predicted a negotiated outcome, saying the deep economic and strategic ties would ultimately lead leaders to smooth relations. “They’re kissing cousins soon,” he told Fox Business, suggesting shared interests would outlast short-term political theater. (Source: Fox Business).

Reporting note on sources

This article draws on reporting from Fox Business, which provided direct quotes and the timeline for O’Leary’s remarks and social-media posts attributed to former President Trump.

Implications for San Diego, California

Although San Diego’s primary trade links focus on Mexico and the Pacific Rim, a sudden shift in Canada–U.S. trade relations or a hypothetical 100% tariff on Canadian goods could ripple through national supply chains and affect local firms. Below are specific implications for the region.

Economic impact

San Diego companies tied to aerospace, defense supply chains, semiconductors and AI-related technologies could face higher input costs or supply disruptions if Canadian partners encounter tariff barriers. Local manufacturers that rely on Canadian-sourced parts may see margin pressure; conversely, some local producers could gain short-term market advantages if Canadian imports become less competitive. (Keyword integration: Canada US trade relations).

Jobs and local businesses

Tariff shocks commonly hit small and medium-sized enterprises disproportionally. San Diego suppliers that sell components to multinationals with Canadian operations may experience order slowdowns, hiring freezes or reduced hours. At the same time, firms competing with Canadian imports could see temporary demand increases.

Political and diplomatic effects in the region

San Diego’s leaders and business groups typically advocate for stable cross-border trade. Local officials, trade associations and the Port of San Diego would likely press for clarity and negotiated solutions to avert sudden tariff-driven disruptions. The region’s sizable military presence and defense contractors could be particularly sensitive to defense-related diplomacy tied to northern approaches.

Social effects and community response

If tariffs raise consumer prices, San Diegans may notice higher costs for goods that rely on complex North American supply chains. Community organizations focused on workers and small businesses might call for policy relief or city-level support measures. Canadian residents in the region could also face uncertainty related to cross-border travel and investment.

Cultural relevance

San Diego’s research universities and tech incubators maintain cross-border partnerships; heightened geopolitical tensions could influence research collaboration and venture funding priorities in areas like AI, which O’Leary flagged as central to strategic competition.

Practical applications for residents

  • Businesses: Review contracts and consider contingency sourcing to reduce risk from sudden tariffs. Trade groups and the Port of San Diego can be sources of guidance. (Keyword integration: Kevin O’Leary Canada China trade).
  • Workers: Employees in manufacturing, defense contracting and logistics should monitor employer updates and union notices about potential supply-chain impacts.
  • Policymakers: Local leaders may need to engage federal representatives to seek clarity and federal support if tariffs disrupt regional trade.

Source

Reporting for this article is based on Fox Business.

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